可靠性的数学与统计方法MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS IN RELIABILITY

This book contains extended versions of 34 carefully selected and reviewed papers presented at the Third International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability, held in Trondheim Norway in 2002. It provides a broad overview of current research activities in reliability theory and its applications. There are chapters on reliability modelling, network and system reliability, reliability optimization, survival analysis,degradation and maintenance modelling and software reliability. The authors are all leading experts in the field.
A particular feature of the book is a historical review by Professor Richard E Barlow, well known for his pioneering research on reliability. The list of authors also includes the plenary session speakers Odd O Aalen, Philip J Boland, Sallle A Keller-McNulty, and Nozer D Singpurwalla.

Preface
Contbutors
I RELIABILIT THEORY IN THE PAST AND PRESENT CENTURIES
1 Mathematical Reliability Theory:From the Beginning to the Present Time Richard E. Barlow
2 Reliability for the 21st Century SaUie A. Keller McNulty and Alyson G. wilson
II GENERAL ASPECTS OF RELIABILITY MODELLING
3 On the Use of Models and Parameters in a Bayesian Setting TerJe Aven
4 Causal Influence Coeffcients:A Localised Maximum Entropy Approach to Bayesian Inference Michael Ingleby and Margaret West
5 Subjective Reliability Analysis Using Predictive Elidtation David F. Percy
6 Copulae and Their Uses CarIo Sempi
III RELIABILITY OF NETWORKS AND SYSTEMS
7 Linking Dominations and Signatures in Network Reliability Theory Philip J. Boland, F. J. Samaniego and E. M Vestrup
8 Improved Simulation Methods for System Reliability Evaluation Arne Ban9 Huseby and Morton Naustdal
9 Reliability of Multi-State Systems: A Historical Overview STOCHASTIC MODELLING AND
IV OPTIMIZATION IN RELIABILITY
10 Waiting Times Associated with the Sum of Snccess Run Lengths D. L. Antzoulakos, S. Bersirnis and M. V. Koutras
11 Maximum Likelihood Prediction of Ptlture Record Statistic Prasanta Basak and N, Balakrishnan
12 Detecting Change Points on Different Information Levels Tma Herber'ts and Uwe Jensen
13 The Reliability of Quadratic Dynamic Systems Aroid Naess
14 Inspection and Maintenance for Stochastically Deteriorating Systems Martin Newby and Richard Dagg
V MODELLING IN SURVIVAL AND RELIABILITY ANALYSIS
VI STATISTICAL METHODS FOR DEGRADATION DATA
VII ATATISTICAL METHODS FOR MAINTAINED SYSTEMS
VIII ATATISTICAL INFERENCE IN SURVIVAL ANALYSIS
IX SOFTWARE RELIABILITY METHODS