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内容提要:
"This book outlines brilliantly and simply the rationale for how and why the bubble developed. Prechter will go down in history as a legend for having predicted the secular bull market and now having provided a lucid description of the economic cataclysm that unfortunately lies ahead. I urge you to read this book and give it to your loved ones. It provides great tactical advice on how to prepare yourself financially. Reading this book could make the difference between agony and comfort over the next 20 years." —David Tice, President, Prudent Bear Funds --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
作者简介:
Robert Prechter is president of Elliott Wave International, which resides at www.elliottwave.com. EWI is a forecasting firm servicing institutional and private investors around the world, providing long-term as well as intraday analysis on stock markets, currencies, interest rates, commodities, and social trends.
Since 1978, Prechter has published thirteen books on the financial markets, which have been translated into as many as a dozen languages. Every month, he writes thoughtful market commentary in The Elliott Wave Theorist. He is currently developing a new website dedicated to the elucidation of what he terms socionomics, a science of social-trend forecasting. Prechter attended Yale University on a full scholarship and graduated in 1971 with a degree in psychology. He began his career as a Technical Market Specialist with the Merrill Lynch Market Analysis Department in New York City. 目录:
Foreword
BOOK ONE: WHY A STOCK MARKET CRASH, MONETARY DEFLATION AND ECONOMIC DEPRESSION ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR SOON PARTⅠ: THE CASE FOR CRASH AND DEPRESSION 1 A Myth Exposed 2 When Do Depression Occur? 3 When Do Stock Markets Turn from Up to Down? 4 The Position of the Stock Market Today 5 Evidence from Stock Participation and Economic Performance 6 The Significance of Historically High Stock Market Valuation 7 The Significance of Historically Optimistic Psychology 8 Implications for the Stock Market and the Economy PARTⅡ: THE CASE FOR DEFLATION 9 When Does Deflation Occur? 10 Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System 11 What Makes Deflation Likely Today? 12 Timing Deflations: The Kondratieff Cycle 13 Can the Fed Stop Deflation? BOOK TWO: HOW TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND PROFIT FROM DEFLATION AND DEPRESSION 14 Making Preparations and Taking Action 15 Should You Invest in Bonds? 16 Should You Invest in Real Estate? 17 Should You Invest in Collectibles? 18 Should You Invest in “Cash”? 19 How to Find a Safe Bank 20 Should You Speculate in Stocks? 21 Should You Invest in Commodities? 22 Should You Invest in Precious Metals? 23 What To Do With Your Pension Plan 24 What To Do With Your Insurance and Annuities 25 Reliable Sources for Financial Warnings 26 How To Ensure Your Physical Safety 27 Preparing for a Change in Politics 28 How To Identify a Safe Haven 29 Calling in Loans and Paying Off Debt 30 What You Should Do If You Run a Business 31 What You Should Do with Respect to Your Employment 32 Should You Rely on Government To Protect You? 33 A Short List of Imperative “Do’s” and Crucial “Don’ts” 34 What To Do at the Bottom of a Deflationary Crash and Depression Services That Can Help You Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression Supplement for 2004 Media & Misc References |